astronomer_zero @astronomer_zero

“$btc Fully closed the daily timeframe (positional long) longs and flipped into a daily timeframe (higher timeframe) short targeting 75k. Yes, that's right, after recovering the losses form the last short first, Astro went short again higher timeframe. If you thought I would let go of my idea just because we went higher, you're wrong unfortunately. I'm still quite confident 75k is coming and there are a lot of reasons for it which I will be covering in the coming days. Before you read further, know that I can be wrong, follow at own risk and read carefully of where and how I frame the invalidation. Also be aware of the timeframe of the trade, it is higher timeframe (positional/daily timeframe) so it should be expected to take a while. But it also means I can share my hard inval (it's on the chart) openly since my follower base alone is not enough to run such a big move for the market makers, only my swing trades and scalps are at open sharing risk from experience. So with that said, even at 86k, I still just can't see this keep on going up. Pretty much everyone expects upside now, many high timeframe bears admitted they were wrong and high timeframe bulls are as loud as ever. I can't see a single post of someone expecting 75k. At worst, the expectancy of 83k to hold. What if it doesn't hold 83k which is quite close... Then, we're facing a very big high timeframe fake-out set to drop further. And I still believe it will because there is about ~2-3B in liquidations sitting right at that 75k level (estimate). We also have a weekly gap which is highly unlikely to be left open given historical price action. Finally, the market never runs with sentiment this high and "alts pumping everywhere". I know last short didn't work very well. Yes, it was low leverage but yes, I also started it too early so it still ended up in a medium-larger loss. Recovered, and it seems cynical to go short again, I know. This is just what I do, stick to an idea I am confident in and not giving up once immediately if reasons are present. Sometimes I do flip after a short, such as at 69k if you remember, going from full short to full long and scoring a move of 10k+ in just a few days, what a time that was. Regardless, I am not 100% confident, but 90%, my general winrate, so I risk accordingly. Perhaps I am too confident in the liquidity building because it already started building as soon as we started moving up only $2000 above the level. Now, that liquidity is still sitting there and it is still building, not stopping. We also tapped into my high timeframe deviation POI which has the same power as the bottom formation POI. But we are in a bull market so that ideally fits the expectations of a higher low. So, yes, reputation at risk, yes, bad trading example, yes, risky to short in a bull market. I have large spot bags and we have been planning a very drawn out spot plan buying at 60k, which every normal follower has benefited from. This is just a large hedge of that position, with healthy expectations of a drop, clear grounds and logical reasoning, and, not many expecting it. I have given a clear predefined invalidation, so risk is limited and pre-defined, fully rektproof. I also set 3 asks since it may take time before we head down. And I'm not all too eager to be fully sized up immediately since the move is big and if we hit it soon, there is economic benefit regardless of a gained opportunity cost of 75k in front of us. Final remarks: this plan can always change. I don't expect it to go smooth with zero changes. But I know what I risked in advance, I am trading my conviction and really, that's all you can do. If price goes up, people will say you should have waited, if price goes down from here, people will say. All I know is I trade in live time, everything else is physically impossible, and hindsight is 20/20. This is a higher timeframe position by the way, this is a positional (daily) timeframe trade, the same way the long below worked. I am giving it time, giving it a reasonable risk which won't ruin an account. But from there, I'm holding it confidently and patiently. Yes, this is potentially early. I explained many times before, shorting early is better than longing early, because funding rates on crypto exchanges are ridiculously high by default so that will help increase the cost basis, the benefit of a higher timeframe short. And this trade is completely separate from my swing trades, I will still be sharing them, going long, going short, trading the local range, etc. Daily timeframe != hourly timeframe and both can operate independently. Also, if it's wrong, then that's a loss. But $btc will also be priced higher. That's good for our spot, and trading wise, if we trade above the inval strongly and form a range, we simply trade from there. New range, new reference, new trades. But for now, this is the idea. This is my idea. Unique, no one has a clear clue or expectations of 75k but I do. Do not follow along if you didn't like my confidence during my last short, or, my 69k big size long. Define risk. My positional timeframe trades aren't popular, they require a different type of patience to hold and a different type of psychology, but they make a nice chunk of change, so here we are. Plan the trade, trade the plan. I will be altering between this idea, the local swing trades, and the high timeframe spot plan. All three are in play, but all on a separate timeframe, keep that in mind.”

“$btc shorts Yup, there it is. The false monday move. And now, I think the move is nearly complete and we should see it reverse soon. I took another short. Can we get three wins in a row? Alright, nice false Monday move we see here, gaining a lot of ground and distancing the 76k target again far enough, and into a very nice confluence area, enough to take a short again. And with all the confluences of which I'll mention some again shortly, I believe once again that this Monday false move it is coming to an end rather soon. We hit into the same vwap band spot again, 76k magnet is still present, bearish bias of red September is still around and FOMC reversal, both stating the continuation of the downtrend. Also the typical width (3-5%) of fake Monday moves up has been reached. And we also reached just above the 0.5 fib of the overall pivot high (82k) and pivot low of last fortnight (76.2k). Finaly, when you look around on the timeline, over a third of the posts revolve around the clarity act pushing sentiment into bullish excess compared to Yesterday. Also seeing nice absorption and a discrepancy in limit order aggression with more aggression towards the downside. Those are some of the key pieces as to why we both expected a fake Monday move up, and for it to go back down. So after all the planning and confirmation, it's time for action. My actions Analysis is nice, and confidence is good. And the "plan going to plan (so far)" is fantastic. But we still have the other half of the plan ahead of us. And no analysis ever made a cent of money without actually taking a trade. Hence why we have to press the button, open a fresh short, on top of all the short exposure we are already holding. That's a third short we take in this downtrend, let's see if we indeed can get three wins in a row, all publicly called. Plan the trade, but most importantly, trade the plan. I thank you, and I wish you good luck.”

“$btc Re-shorted again, but slightly lower size. Alright good sweep received with a decent amount trapped and all confluences remaining. It's also Friday on a green week. So we have best case scenario for our ongoing short idea in a bullish environment. Therefore re-shorted now with a better entry. Going lower size because just took a loss and our positional long idea is still carrying stubbornly and I want to prioritize macro bias. But 1.2x is still a reasonable pay. For example: market drops to 75k = 7.2% gain. That's a lot even if it takes one week.”

“$btc After the short, now comes the long. I just entered. Alright! After a clean short caught and called live from the top and with most TP'd, I'm now looking to rotate those profits into a long. The story of the long is very similar to the short, where the short hit the GZ, W inst level, VAH etc etc at the top, now we're seeing the exact opposite, again the GZ of the leg up, the VAL and another W level. With CPI volatility settled, good time to get in a trade. Idea is a long. And yes, there are more reasons and confluences of why I am longing here. Always confirm with order flow and local structure. But I'm just here trying to get the info out as soon as possible. We do have good local structure onsetting for this to turn around again. So I will see you on the other side. Are short I remainders still open? Yes Are short III remainders still open? Also yes. This is a play to make a lower high. And no, it's not a scalp, I am aiming for more than just a 400$ move.”

“$btc Shorted here again, same idea, same plan, can we get six wins in a row? Alright, last short did not lead further than target 1, since we have been front run on the second target of new lows. Not technically speaking. Because CME (most important exchange) did run the lows. But as I always say, even if you are the most accurate analyst, it still doesn't represent your execution in any way. That's why my execution is and always will be live and fully transparently shown because only that makes money ultimately. On top, I also won't count small wins as wins, hence why we didn't "win" our last trade. So speaking of live execution, I just entered again short, with the same plan, same idea, same confluences, of why I want to start a short here. Going in half size this time versus last trade, because technically the confluence of the new lows target has now perished. But the edge and confluences of "down" is still present. We will see. Good luck, let's see if we can get our sixth (proper) win in a row.”

“$btc That's our sixth win in a row! Can we get a seventh? Took a lower timeframe short. Alright, so with our long and sixth win in a row just scored live for the world to see, I'm going short next now. Yes, I know, this is a set and forget trade. Not something I believe in thoroughly, not something I strongly advise. Not something very smart since SL is close by and market makers love to run successful traders' SL. I placed it a bit further here expecting it to be not worth it for them to run it. Besides, we made so much money lately, going for a little fun here and there never hurts. Lower size therefore, TP'ing 70% at the indicated target, I might manage the trade around a bit. But this is the initial plan. My public live record is 8 wins in a row, let's go towards it with style, not always typical Astro tryhardm at least mixing in one more fun trade, not taking it too seriously. Don't confuse this with my bullish bias, I am bullish on the daily and the weekly, but the hourly can drop imo and there is edge. Enjoy.”

“$btc The plan is panning out slowly, low 60's first, then 66k second. I entered another long (starter) here (aggressively) Alright! We are getting our favoured scenario, of price dropping first before hitting 66k. And so our plan of taking yet another long is slowly shaping up, the plan to get our sixth win in a row, the plan to carry another long, as we develop another fake Monday move imo. If you're new here, price is dropping to indeed form a fake move, potentially taking out the poor lows. Our game plan is coming together. A plan is just a plan however, there are enough plans on X, only half of them play out. Only putting real money on the line is what makes real money, so with that, comes an actual position. Exactly what I did, starting a small position here. Not the entire position yet, it will be added in the "bet big area". But I'm starting here because since the 66k magnet is active, there is no guarantee of our deeper levels of interest coming as stated, but I do have my notion. So there you go, the plan is shaping up, and here are my actions, also shaping up. All called live, all real. We are traders, we are not just callers, there are enough "callers" on X. Only real money speaks, since real money can't be hidden. Full transparency. Enjoy and have a great start of your week.”

“$btc scalp m15/12 = approx m1. Pattern on m1 has appeared. First TP can be taken here if you followed. Final target of scalp 60k, depending on NYO reaction. NYO could run the lows (check reaction) for a second try to 60k, is how I would approach it. https://t.co/5u1B7g5ZnY”

“$btc Hourly range high formed ✅ Now we're at range low. Looking to reposition Yesterday's long profits back into a fresh long now that we're back at hourly range low. 66k remains the daily targeting area. https://t.co/J0t4ygjKyC”

“$btc - shorted 83.3k. With a unique strategy. The road to our fifth win in a row... Alright so we have a nice shortable bounce shaping up. And I just said that I am not going to share too much analysis and plan, and just focus on execution, and make the analysis clear over time or share educationally, after all is said and done. Because the execution is somewhat different to what you are used to seeing recently hence the emphasis. Interpreting execution well is more important than interpreting a plan well. Execution first So for this short, I will simply use a "potential" 3-entry strategy, of one third size each. That's quite different from the last trades I took where I just went full size one, and price rejected from there, win locked in, done. This time, I am looking to position more slowly. Why? Firstly because I'm still short exposed for 35% of a full position from range high, so if the market goes higher after the entry, it has less impact on positions at the start. But secondly, if you want to short here, you are shorting into a low potentially with low confirmation of weakness. So market going up further after first entry has some room to go south further. Finally, when the week ends, the frame of the next week is not set yet (Monday could move up as a fake move, or not), yet you want to prevent missing the next trade entirely. That's why here, lower size is key to get involved but safely so. "But what if it rejects here and we go straight to target, then the win is smaller". Correct. And that is why, if successful, I will close 60% of the trade after hitting our first target, which will be more than 1300 points away. That way, the win is still considerable, especially in a bearish environment where the other 40% may be running as large tail reward. That's using the magic of not partialling too soon to your advantage, whilst slowly building a position, and slowly getting out (not getting out too soon). When will I add the other two buys? They key is to wait for a while, a business day at least. That way, you prevent sizing up too soon, and give the market time to form structure. That allows the bounce to take shape and micro-optimize entries, because that is what we are doing and is important. Even when taking 3 "potential" entries (at most 3), having each of them optimized is helpful. Hence, the first entry here, is also at a sensitive point here, the 83.3k as mentioned hence why I started entering here. So, that's my strategy, and it nicely completes both ends of the spectrum of my framework: 1⃣Fast in, fast out + tail reward This is where I go in in full, and remove the risk rather soon, and let the rest run to colossally high RR's if possible 2⃣Slow in, slow out Where you give room to enter more entries (potentially), and to preserve reward, do not TP too early as an exit strategy. 2⃣ is more rare in my execution. It takes slightly more mental strain. But it's worth practicing both for technical (say you are confident in a drop but only have a few weaker POI's that "may" reject), or practical reasons (busy period, etc). 2⃣ is what we are going for, starting with the first 83.3k entry, targeting way below 82k (can change), already 1300+ points away. I also warn you that 2⃣ is not as beginner friendly. So keep that in mind regarding your own personal level and experience in the markets. Thank you for watching, I hope you learn something. And I truly wish you all the best.”

“$btc Started flipping these long profits into a fresh short position here. Alright, with all confluences shared over the last days, and my thesis clear of "finding some resistance", we have enough to rotate some of the long profits of "the big long", into a fresh short. As a reminder, the confluences were: mmd with $eth, OHLC, March 2025 close, and the local POI I pointed out. Idea of the short - timeframes To keep in mind the idea of the short, so you don't get confused with timeframes, because as you know, I am macro bullish, but positional, no longer bullish. In short: Macro (Weekly/monthly): bullish Daily timeframes (positional): no longer bullish Hourly: refer to this trade idea. So because I am bullish on the weekly/monthly, a good system does not logically allow a short on the one timeframe below (positional timeframe), it only allows a short on two timeframes below. Hence, this is a short on the swing trade timeframe, not a positional trade timeframe short. This is purely playing the local downside of the topping I expect to see here into the POI, a swing trade is perfect for that. And I'm using the profits of the positional long to do so. It also means I keep the positional long for what it is. I haven't closed it. With all that said, short has been entered. Ready, set and go.”

“$btc From macro, to one timeframe below that: the multi-day (positional timeframe). I am also bullish here. + a positional long entry shared right here right now. With our macro plan out of the way, where I clearly restated to not fade this move, established the monthly/weekly bullish bias, it's now time to establish the timeframe below that, which is the positional timeframe and bias. This timeframe ranges from the daily (D) to the tridaily (3D), sometimes the 5D included. So where we first started bull-posting confidently in Feb 2026, still holding the exact same purple box, we also have the update of sweeping the first low set in Feb, whilst filling the purple box completely almost to the tick. On top, we also set a second weekly cyclical low very close to 24 weeks later. Finally, we had a 7.12%+ bounce, fulfilling our spot plan to buy spot in June and not wait until October like many were. This in itself, on top of the macro bias, is a trade entry. Because we have a full framework: overarching bias (bullish on monthly), and entry timing on the underlying timeframe (2D-3D-5D). The entry is backed by cyclical timing, technical levels, and not to forget the sentiment and max bear posting below 60k, the first time in Feb (everyone calling for sub 50k), the second time in June (everyone calling for sub 50k again). Now of course everyone called the bottom, but that's fine, it's only after the move and no one is sharing trade entries. There is one caveat though to this trade since you hear me talk about a trade whilst I just took a loss. This is not the typical swing trade I do. We are not executing on the hourly timeframes and this trade likely takes months. But I decided to share it since it's been a while we took a positional trade. They are not commonly entered. It's a good time to take it, solidifies the message of "to not fade this move" with a statement, and it gives an hard invalidation ahead of time which is on notes of a sensitive topic, something I don't like sharing on the swing trading timeframes where it's sometimes close by, but on the positional timeframes, acceptable since it would take a lot of money to hit the SL, far beyond the liquidity my posts generate most likely in this case. Disclaimer There is one disclaimer. Because if you remember: I did say "do not overtrade". So it's good to prepare mentally what you're signing up for if you take a positional trade like this. Firstly, it's not one we will "TP tomorrow", or "after a 1300$ move". Instead, it will be one held for a long time to capture a big move. Secondly, the hard SL is shared, so you can fix your risk accordingly and therefore this trade has a different risk profile to the typical swing trade (I risked 2.5% of my acc on this initially). So, keep that in mind before entering this trade. Aside from that, all reasons above explain both why this is a logical position both technically and going against overtrading. One to hold for longer, to stay patient and disciplined, whilst limited fomo in a potentially bullish market. With all risk parameters given, as per usual with these positional trades, as the market makers likely to not chase our liquidity. Enjoy.”