Score audit
benbsp @benbsp
Every input is listed below — the score is the Wilson lower bound of the win rate over the decided calls, so anyone can recompute it. Methodology
Resolved calls (26)
4 wins + 22 losses = the decided base; 0 breakevens are resolved but carry no win/loss signal, so they sit outside it.
“$MU 5Oct $1050p limit $3”
“$MU 2Oct $1060p limit $1.00”
“$MU 2Oct $1070p limit $3.5”
“LOTTO $MU 2Oct $1020p limit $1.50”
“$MU 2Oct $1040p limit $4.50”
“$MU 2Oct $980p limit $2.25”
“$MU LOW OF DAY!!! $1064.06, PT $1041 🤓🤓🔥🔥💸💸 @WallStreetMav @wallstreetbets @WallStreetApes https://t.co/E7HgDjzMdf”
“$CRCL breaking above 83.48 will send it to $84.58 85.57 🤓🤓🔥🔥💸💸”
“$CRCL 2Oct $84c limit $1.75”
“$SKHY 2Oct $180p limit $2.50”
“LOTTO $NVDA 28Sep $232.50c limit $.15”
“$NVDA 28Sep $230p filled $.20”
“$NVDA 30Sep $230p limit $2.50”
“$SPCX 2Oct $150p limit $3.50”
“$ASTS 25Sep $62c limit $.75”
“$META 25Sep $805c filled $1.40”
“$META 25Sep $750p limit $5”
“$META 25Sep $755p limit $12”
“$ASTS 25Sep $65c limit $1.90”
“$DRAM 23Sep $63c limit $.80”
“LOTTO $DRAM 23Sep $65c limit $.15”
“$DRAM 25Sep $62c filled $1.75, PT 64.40”
“$AMZN 23Sep $255c filled $2.32 PT 258.10”
“$SPY 21Sep $770p limit $.50, PT 767.22”
“$MU 21Spe $1050p limit $5.25 PT $1041”
“$SPY 25Sep $764p limit $2.50”
Not adjudicable (1)
The platform declines to grade these: the price data available to us is coarser than the trade (spot FX and metals have no intraday feed, and a stop tighter than a daily bar cannot be adjudicated honestly), or the option contract has no bars. They are excluded from the score and from coverage entirely — not counted as losses.
“$NVDA 23Sep $277.50c filled $2.58, PT 229.75”
Falsifiable, not yet decided (2)
Open or untriggered — these count against coverage until they resolve.
“$CRWD 9Oct $280c limit $8, PT 292.36”
“$AUR 16Oct $6c limit $.75, PT $7.25”
No falsifiable level (29)
Calls with no stated target or stop can't be scored — they feed the unverified 1-Week Read instead and count against coverage. Not listed individually.
Call text is shown as captured at seed time; deleting the post on X does not remove it here. This audit is a record of public calls and their market outcomes — not financial advice, and never a recommendation. Dispute an attribution: claim this profile to correct it.