Score audit
hertzytrades @hertzytrades
Every input is listed below — the score is the Wilson lower bound of the win rate over the decided calls, so anyone can recompute it. Methodology
Resolved calls (3)
2 wins + 1 losses = the decided base; 0 breakevens are resolved but carry no win/loss signal, so they sit outside it.
“this range on $HOOD has been a blessing STO 6/5 $81 covered calls easily could play both sides of this range https://t.co/dEtNSEbmbI”
“$HOOD Reports Earnings Today: Here is my 5 year thesis + thoughts. In 2025, we saw $HOOD grow multiple legs and the market took notice. It wasn't all retail FOMO, it was a true turn around of the company from the "meme stock trading app." The most underrated part of this whole story is demographics. $HOOD is taking over generations of investors. Millennials and Gen Z market capture, in the early years of their earning years. And it's not all people switching over for UI and incentives. New investors aren't leaving for Schwab. They're not going to Fidelity. They grew up and started on RH. Platform AUM is growing passively. This also comes with a swath of new products..RH gold subscription, credit cards, joint accounts, custodial accounts, strategies, prediction markets, international, etc. It is clear that Robinhood is setting up to be the financial super app. Short term pain is crypto risks, as transactional revenue slumps as crypto seems almost boring. Although, I see a path towards crypto becoming a smaller % of the pie, just takes time. My 5 year outlook: Base Case: The demographic flywheel compounds. Gold and subscriptions grow modestly. $HOOD trades like a fintech compounder, not a speculation vehicle. Market Cap: ~$115B Bull case: Full financial super-app. Brokerage, crypto, banking, prediction markets, retirement, international. AUM balloons as users age and earn more. Vlad's vision comes full circle. Market Cap: ~$250B Average consensus PT from the street: ~$102 The 5 year story is real if you believe the demographic thesis and give them credit for actually building. The near-term could be more choppy. Trading -28% YTD. Long $HOOD.”
“Sold $RKLB Covered Call: - 5/15 $100C 🧃 Premium: $100 https://t.co/L29dZ3KKgP”
Not adjudicable (1)
The platform declines to grade these: the price data available to us is coarser than the trade (spot FX and metals have no intraday feed, and a stop tighter than a daily bar cannot be adjudicated honestly), or the option contract has no bars. They are excluded from the score and from coverage entirely — not counted as losses.
“Half price. Better business. That's the setup on $ONDS right now. - Q3 beat: Revenue above the $140–155M guide, with FY26 guidance maintained or raised. - Army LUS expansion: Additional task orders, production milestones, or deliveries from the program connected to >$240M of captured orders. - Fresh defense wins: New ULTRA, IonStrike, Dronebuster, Sentrycs, ISR, or counter-UAS contracts. - Q4 delivery ramp: Confirmed volume deliveries on the $140M combat-engineering vehicle program. Trade Idea🔽 100 shares costs ~$754 today The Jan 2028 $7 LEAP calls run roughly $3.30/contract. It's a leveraged way to be in this name through 2028 without tying up capital in shares...worst case, I lose the premium, nothing more. Not financial advice.”
Falsifiable, not yet decided (0)
Open or untriggered — these count against coverage until they resolve.
No falsifiable level (2)
Calls with no stated target or stop can't be scored — they feed the unverified 1-Week Read instead and count against coverage. Not listed individually.
Call text is shown as captured at seed time; deleting the post on X does not remove it here. This audit is a record of public calls and their market outcomes — not financial advice, and never a recommendation. Dispute an attribution: claim this profile to correct it.