Score audit

lp_nxt @lp_nxt

ANTE Building from 13 decided calls · 46% win rate · 42% coverage · v1.5

Every input is listed below — the score is the Wilson lower bound of the win rate over the decided calls, so anyone can recompute it. Methodology

Resolved calls (13)

6 wins + 7 losses = the decided base; 0 breakevens are resolved but carry no win/loss signal, so they sit outside it.

2026-06-05$BTCLONGcryptoWin +7.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $59500 · target $94400 · stop $47800

“$BTC — Swing Long Entry: 59.5K Invalidation: 47.8K TP: 94.4K https://t.co/Qxlbp7rebo”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-03-02$BTCSHORTcryptoLoss -5.4%stopped out · daily bars
entry $73400 · target $59039 · stop $77362

“$BTC - Limit Short Entry: 73,400 Stop Loss: 77,362 Take Profit: 59,039 https://t.co/KKyqrR4Wrx”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-02-13$BTCSHORTcryptoLoss -1.1%timed out · daily bars
entry $73401 · target $62302 · stop $77100

“$BTC – Limit Short Entry: 73,401 SL: 77,100 TP: 62,302 Risking 1–2% https://t.co/QGSl3fVFuQ”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-01-28$BTCSHORTcryptoWin +6.7%target hit · daily bars
entry $90500 · target $84400 · stop —

“$BTC If price fails to reclaim 90–91K, 84.4K is next. 🧲 https://t.co/ysClmxDyJA”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-01-08$BTCLONGcryptoWin +5.3%target hit · daily bars
entry $90200 · target $95000 · stop $89000levels read from chart

“$BTC On the LTF, price was rising while funding declined and OI trended slightly higher. A textbook setup for a continuation move upward, as shorts were building into the rally. Long taken with the Telegram. Link in bio. https://t.co/w64w3E1lH3”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2025-12-28$BTCSHORTcryptoLoss -1.1%stopped out · daily bars
entry $88635 · target $83862 · stop $89607

“$BTC Short Entry: 88,635 SL: 89,607 TP: 83,862 * Short ideally entered before the CME gap fill. https://t.co/uNn3wi8Tj7”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2025-12-23$BTCLONGcryptoWin +7.6%target hit · daily bars
entry $86311 · target $92859 · stop $84396

“$BTC Long Entry: 86,311 SL: 84,396 TP: 92,859 https://t.co/K2Gjwilcjp”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2025-12-22$BTCSHORTcryptoWin +24.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $90300 · target — · stop $88900levels from own thread

“$BTC Shorted 90.3K. https://t.co/85RxkU6DDe”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2025-12-15$BTCLONGcryptoLoss -1.8%stopped out · daily bars
entry $86084 · target $96022 · stop $84492

“$BTC Long | 0.5% Risk Entry: 86084 SL: 84492 TP: 96022 https://t.co/9KLwLiDeJ6”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2025-12-04$BTCSHORTcryptoWin +18.1%timed out · daily bars
entry $96020.73 · target $74103.02 · stop $100377.57

“$BTC Short Entry: 96020.73 Add: 98159.58 SL: 100377.57 TP: 74103.02 https://t.co/JF5OhJNHwo”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2025-12-02$BTCSHORTcryptoLoss -1.6%stopped out · minute bars
entry $90560 · target $83529 · stop $92036

“$BTC Short Entry: 90560 SL: 92036 TP: 83529 https://t.co/izE2iZ83ES”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2025-11-20$ETHLONGcryptoLoss -5.1%stopped out · minute bars
entry $3019.09 · target $3577 · stop $2864

“$ETH Long (4R🔒) Entry: CMP SL: 2864 TP: 3577 https://t.co/0b6q8PDKqf”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2025-11-17$BTCLONGcryptoLoss -1.1%stopped out · minute bars
entry $93900 · target $98000 · stop $92900

“$BTC Long Entry: 93900 SL: 92900 TP: 98000 Risking 1R from last trade. (Very Risky Long - Manage at your own risk) https://t.co/jgxOn4OCBw”

Original post ↗archived at seed time

Falsifiable, not yet decided (7)

Open or untriggered — these count against coverage until they resolve.

2026-10-07$BTCLONGcryptoOpen
entry $82500 · target $160000 · stop $73700

“$BTC — Swing Long #3 Entry: 82.5K SL: 73.7K TP: 160K Let the games continue... 🃏 https://t.co/WhJhnWROXi”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-24$BTCLONGcryptoOpen
entry $84050.15 · target $160000 · stop — · 2 years

“$BTC It's this simple... Bid: Every tap of this trend line or deviation below the range lows. Sell: 2 years from now, around 160K. 🎲 https://t.co/U6Ev0gnRWG”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-11$BTCLONGcryptoOpen
entry $76200 · target $160219.58 · stop $59977.59 · swinglevels read from chart

“$BTC — Continuation Swing Long I'm officially in my second swing long... Entry: 76.2K I still think 74.3K is possible, and price could visit that area. But from a positioning perspective, it's not worth waiting for another 2% move lower before getting positioned when targeting 100%+ to the upside. I'm prepared to hold this position in drawdown if needed. The next major move will be to the upside, and most will be stuck waiting for lower prices when it happens. Don't panic if you aren't positioned yet. Another sweep could very well come, and price may remain stuck within this range a little longer. Let the games begin. 🎲”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-03$BTCLONGcryptoOpen
entry $81697.9 · target $160200 · stop — · 2.5-year

“$BTC — Continuation Swing Long Patience... 74.3K will come. TP: 160.2K 2.5-year timeframe. 🎲 https://t.co/ED7Cvic6F6”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-02$BTCLONGcryptoOpen
entry $74300 · target $90000 · stop — · EOY

“bitcoin:native Re-accumulation before expansion... Bottom is in. 62K isn't coming. It's only bait for the shorts. Second swing long entry: 74.3K. 90K EOY. 🎲 https://t.co/HZLolSrj0v”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-28$BTCLONGcryptoOpen
entry $72000 · target $195000 · stop — · 2.5 years

“bitcoin:native Missed the bottom? Bid: 76–68K Sell: 155–195K 2.5-year timeframe. 🎲 https://t.co/DB8Ct4J5ym”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-27$BTCLONGcryptoOpen
entry $74300 · target $126200 · stop $59900

“$BTC — Continuation Swing Long Entry: 74.3K Invalidation: 59.9K TP: 126.2K https://t.co/gX8mc2F9Lz”

Original post ↗archived at seed time

No falsifiable level (10)

Calls with no stated target or stop can't be scored — they feed the unverified 1-Week Read instead and count against coverage. Not listed individually.

Call text is shown as captured at seed time; deleting the post on X does not remove it here. This audit is a record of public calls and their market outcomes — not financial advice, and never a recommendation. Dispute an attribution: claim this profile to correct it.

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