Score audit

mikalche @mikalche

ANTE 12 · Unproven from 101 decided calls · 18% win rate · likely range 12–26 · 94% coverage · v1.5

Every input is listed below — the score is the Wilson lower bound of the win rate over the decided calls, so anyone can recompute it. Methodology

Resolved calls (102)

18 wins + 83 losses = the decided base; 1 breakevens are resolved but carry no win/loss signal, so they sit outside it.

2026-10-09$SNDKBUYoptionLoss -93.3%timed out · minute bars
entry $1602.67 · target — · stop —

“$SNDK 1650 CALL OCT 9”

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2026-10-09$QQQBUYoptionLoss -8.3%timed out · minute bars
entry $749.36 · target — · stop —

“$QQQ 750 CALL 0DTE”

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2026-10-09$AAOIBUYoptionLoss -67.3%timed out · minute bars
entry $110.25 · target — · stop —

“$AAOI 110 PUT OCT 9”

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2026-10-08$AVGOBUYoptionLoss -99.5%timed out · daily bars
entry $372.07 · target — · stop —

“$AVGO 375 CALL OCT 9”

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2026-10-08$PLTRBUYoptionWin +265.2%timed out · daily bars
entry $199.405 · target — · stop —

“$PLTR 202.50 CALL OCT 9”

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2026-10-07$IWMBUYoptionLoss -85.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $277.545 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO PLAY $IWM 285 CALL OCT 9 https://t.co/dBn6ZiZhsF”

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2026-10-07$DRAMBUYoptionWin +36%timed out · minute bars
entry $59.68 · target — · stop —

“$DRAM 59 ITM CALL OCT 7”

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2026-10-06$IWMBUYoptionLoss -96%timed out · daily bars
entry $282.085 · target — · stop —

“$IWM 285 CALL OCT 7”

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2026-10-06$QCOMBUYoptionLoss -98.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $180.285 · target — · stop —

“$QCOM 182.50 CALL OCT 9”

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2026-10-06$SNDKBUYoptionLoss -99%timed out · daily bars
entry $1673.975 · target — · stop —

“$SNDK 1850 CALL OCT 9”

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2026-10-02$SNDKBUYoptionLoss -88%timed out · minute bars
entry $1719.97 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO PLAY $SNDK 1775 CALL OCT 2”

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2026-10-02$MUBUYoptionLoss -99.7%timed out · minute bars
entry $1094.121 · target — · stop —

“$MU 1110 CALL OCT 2”

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2026-10-02$AVGOBUYoptionLoss -96.5%timed out · minute bars
entry $353.86 · target — · stop —

“$AVGO 360 CALL OCT 2”

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2026-10-02$CRCLBUYoptionLoss -98.8%timed out · minute bars
entry $87.12 · target — · stop —

“$CRCL 88 CALL OCT 2”

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2026-10-02$MARABUYoptionLoss -93.7%timed out · minute bars
entry $11.88 · target — · stop —

“$MARA 12 CALL OCT 2”

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2026-10-01$RIOTBUYoptionLoss -98.4%timed out · daily bars
entry $19.38 · target — · stop —

“$RIOT 20 CALL OCT 9TH”

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2026-10-01$SNDKBUYoptionLoss -99.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $1732.0401 · target — · stop —

“$SNDK 1800 CALL OCT 2”

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2026-09-30$CRWVBUYoptionLoss -99.4%timed out · daily bars
entry $89.4835 · target — · stop —

“$CRWV 92 CALL OCT 2”

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2026-09-29$GLWBUYoptionWin +7.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $159.3575 · target — · stop —

“$GLW 160 CALL OCT 2”

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2026-09-29$SPYBUYoptionLoss -98.2%timed out · minute bars
entry $764.72 · target — · stop —

“$SPY 767 CALL 0DTE”

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2026-09-25$MUBUYoptionLoss -95.2%timed out · minute bars
entry $1075.745 · target — · stop —

“$MU 1085 CALL 0DTE”

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2026-09-23$PANWBUYoptionLoss -99.5%timed out · daily bars
entry $385.89 · target — · stop —

“$PANW 390 CALL SEPT 25”

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2026-09-22$AMZNBUYoptionLoss -98.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $254.975 · target — · stop —

“$AMZN 255 CALL SEPT 23”

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2026-09-21$NVTSBUYoptionLoss -96.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $12.13 · target — · stop —

“$NVTS 12.50 CALL SEPT 25”

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2026-09-18$TSLABUYoptionLoss -83.8%timed out · minute bars
entry $362.925 · target — · stop —

“$TSLA 365 call 0dte”

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2026-09-18$SPCXBUYoptionLoss -96.5%timed out · minute bars
entry $151.83 · target — · stop —

“$SPCX 155 CALL 0DTE”

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2026-09-18$COINBUYoptionWin +1162.7%timed out · minute bars
entry $179.41 · target — · stop —

“$COIN 185 CALL SEPT 18”

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2026-09-18$MSTRBUYoptionWin +933.3%timed out · minute bars
entry $138.205 · target — · stop —

“$MSTR 140 CALL SEPT 18”

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2026-09-17$COINBUYoptionWin +1291.3%timed out · daily bars
entry $170.44 · target — · stop —

“$COIN 175 CALL SEPT 18”

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2026-09-17$AAPLBUYoptionLoss -98.3%timed out · daily bars
entry $332.2633 · target — · stop —

“$AAPL 337.50 CALL SEPT 18”

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2026-09-17$DELLBUYoptionLoss -99.2%timed out · daily bars
entry $582.5 · target — · stop —

“$DELL 600 CALL SEPT 18”

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2026-09-14$NVDABUYoptionLoss -97.1%timed out · minute bars
entry $210.9295 · target — · stop —

“$NVDA 212.50 CALL 0DTE”

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2026-09-14$MARABUYoptionWin +380%timed out · daily bars
entry $11.2788 · target — · stop —

“$MARA 12.50 CALL SEPT 18”

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2026-09-11$PLTRBUYoptionLoss -97.9%timed out · minute bars
entry $167.775 · target — · stop —

“$PLTR 170 CALL SEPT 11”

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2026-09-10$AAOIBUYoptionLoss -98.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $109.475 · target — · stop —

“$AAOI 112 CALL SEPT 11”

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2026-09-08$AAOIBUYoptionLoss -99.2%timed out · daily bars
entry $113.12 · target — · stop —

“$AAOI 120 CALL SEPT 11 ENTRY”

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2026-09-08$TSLABUYoptionLoss -99.5%timed out · daily bars
entry $361.3101 · target — · stop —

“$TSLA 370 CALL SEPT 9”

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2026-09-02$INTCBUYoptionLoss -80%timed out · minute bars
entry $89.51 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $INTC 92 CALL 0DTE”

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2026-09-02$IWMBUYoptionLoss -96.4%timed out · daily bars
entry $292.59 · target — · stop —

“$IWM 297.50 CALL SEPT 4TH https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-31$MARABUYoptionWin +54.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $10.465 · target — · stop —

“$MARA 11 CALL SEPT 4 https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-31$LNGBUYoptionLoss -99.3%timed out · daily bars
entry $288.925 · target — · stop —

“$LNG 300 CALL SEPT 18TH SWING https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-28$TSLABUYoptionWin +69.9%timed out · minute bars
entry $346.775 · target — · stop —

“$TSLA 342.50 ITM CALL AUG 28TH https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-28$QCOMBUYoptionLoss -99.2%timed out · daily bars
entry $164.2 · target — · stop —

“$QCOM 170 CALL SEPT 4 https://t.co/V9ncTyqF9L”

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2026-08-28$PANWBUYoptionWin +129.2%timed out · minute bars
entry $362.78 · target — · stop —

“$PANW 360 ITM CALL 0DTE https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-28$NBISBUYoptionLoss -93.3%timed out · minute bars
entry $212.6199 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $NBIS 220 CALL 0DTE https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-27$NBISBUYoptionLoss -99.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $219.125 · target — · stop —

“$NBIS 215 ITM CALL AUG 28 https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-27$CRWVBUYoptionLoss -70.3%timed out · daily bars
entry $87.565 · target — · stop —

“$CRWV ITM $82 CALL AUG 28TH https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-27$QBTSBUYoptionLoss -75%timed out · daily bars
entry $18.03 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $QBTS 20 CALL AUG 28 https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-27$PATHBUYoptionWin +55.1%timed out · daily bars
entry $17.745 · target — · stop —

“$PATH 17.50 CALL AUG 28 https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-26$INTCBUYoptionLoss -50%timed out · minute bars
entry $87.77 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $INTC 90 CALL 0DTE https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-25$QUBTBUYoptionLoss -80%timed out · daily bars
entry $8.575 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $QUBT 9.50 CALL AUG 28 https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-24$TSLABUYoptionLoss -99.1%timed out · daily bars
entry $358.04 · target — · stop — · swing

“$TSLA 440 CALL SEPT 18TH PETROAI SWING”

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2026-08-21$INTCBUYoptionLoss -80%timed out · minute bars
entry $90.9557 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $INTC 95 CALL AUGF 21 ENTRY https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-21$NOWBUYoptionLoss -75%timed out · minute bars
entry $129.275 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $NOW 135 CALL AUG 21 https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-21$RDDTBUYoptionLoss -99.2%timed out · minute bars
entry $154 · target — · stop —

“$RDDT 155 CALL AUG 21 https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-20$WDCBUYoptionLoss -99.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $467.01 · target — · stop —

“$WDC 475 CALL AUG 21 https://t.co/MJDKF6ufXq”

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2026-08-20$AVGOBUYoptionWin +52.5%timed out · daily bars
entry $363.485 · target — · stop —

“$AVGO 365 CALL AUG 21 ENTRY https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-20$RIOTBUYoptionLoss -85.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $20.43 · target — · stop —

“$RIOT 23 CALL AUG 21 https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-19$NXPIBUYoptionLoss -98.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $230.21 · target — · stop —

“$NXPI 250 CALL SEPT 18TH PETROAI SWING https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-19$MARABUYoptionWin +1026.3%timed out · daily bars
entry $8.835 · target — · stop —

“$MARA 9 CALL AUG 21 https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-18$MUBUYoptionLoss -88.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $935.19 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $MU 1070 CALL AUG 19 EXTREME HIGH RISK”

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2026-08-18$INTCBUYoptionLoss -93.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $96.026 · target — · stop —

“$INTC 102 CALL AUG 19 https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-14$AMZNBUYoptionLoss -91.7%timed out · minute bars
entry $264.71 · target — · stop —

“$AMZN 267.50 CALL AUG 14 https://t.co/fOsW6DKCbz”

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2026-08-10$INTCBUYoptionLoss -85.7%timed out · minute bars
entry $98.39 · target — · stop —

“$INTC 101 CALL 0DTE ENTRY”

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2026-08-10$RDWBUYoptionLoss -76.4%timed out · daily bars
entry $13.2745 · target — · stop —

“$RDW 13.50 CALL AUG 14 ENTRY https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-10$TTDBUYoptionWin +118.5%timed out · daily bars
entry $13.165 · target — · stop —

“$TTD 13.50 CALL AUG 14 ENTRY”

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2026-08-10$GOOGLBUYoptionLoss -5.3%timed out · minute bars
entry $354.525 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $GOOGL 357.50 CALL 0DTE”

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2026-08-07$GOOGLBUYoptionLoss -91.7%timed out · minute bars
entry $355.045 · target — · stop —

“$GOOGL 357.50 CALL 0DTE”

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2026-08-07$DKNGBUYoptionWin +216.7%timed out · minute bars
entry $23.34 · target — · stop —

“$DKNG 23.50 CALL AUG 7”

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2026-08-07$ARMBUYoptionLoss -83.3%timed out · minute bars
entry $286.52 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $ARM 305 CALL AUG 7 ASK FOR THE MID PRICE”

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2026-08-07$WDCBUYoptionLoss -99.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $433.85 · target — · stop — · swing

“$WDC 560 CALL AUG 21 PETROAI SWING https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-07$ARMBUYoptionLoss -98.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $284.41 · target — · stop — · swing

“$ARM 400 CALL AUG 21 PETROAI SWING”

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2026-08-07$CELHBUYoptionWin +247.2%timed out · minute bars
entry $26.12 · target — · stop —

“$CELH 26 CALL AUG 7 https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-07$SNDKBUYoptionLoss -87.3%timed out · daily bars
entry $1221.325 · target — · stop —

“$SNDK 1800 CALL AUG 14TH”

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2026-08-07$QQQBUYoptionLoss -98.5%timed out · daily bars
entry $721.27 · target — · stop — · swing

“$QQQ 785 CALL AUG 31 SWING https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-07$ONDSBUYoptionBreakeven 0%timed out · minute bars
entry $8.8101 · target — · stop —

“$ONDS Lotto Alert – ONLY for High-Risk Traders This is NOT a safe trade. These can go to zero. I am taking a lotto position in: $ONDS 9.50 Calls – Expiring AUG7– Fill at $0.01 Read every word below before even thinking of touching this: This is a MAX-RISK lotto, Assume a 100% loss unless the squeeze ignition triggers. OTM contracts this far out will not move unless price reclaims key levels AND spreads tighten.”

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2026-08-07$ALBBUYoptionWin +166.7%timed out · minute bars
entry $127.4225 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $ALB 130 CALL AUG 7”

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2026-08-07$TSLABUYoptionLoss -99.2%timed out · daily bars
entry $325.82 · target — · stop —

“$TSLA 335 CALL AUG 10TH”

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2026-08-07$NOWBUYoptionLoss -99.1%timed out · minute bars
entry $125.085 · target — · stop —

“$NOW 126 CALL AUG 7”

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2026-08-07$COINBUYoptionLoss -97%timed out · minute bars
entry $150.5301 · target — · stop —

“$COIN 155 CALL AUG 7”

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2026-08-07$AAOIBUYoptionLoss -99.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $140.96 · target — · stop — · swing

“$AAOI 180 CALL AUG 21 PETROAI SWING https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-06$QQQBUYoptionLoss -96.2%timed out · minute bars
entry $715.81 · target — · stop — · 0DTE

“$QQQ 717 0DTE BANGER 🔥 https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY https://t.co/CLVvrz9hgs”

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2026-08-06$SPYBUYoptionLoss -97.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $768.12 · target — · stop —

“$SPY 775 CALL AUG 7TH ENTRY https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-06$NVDABUYoptionLoss -97.4%timed out · daily bars
entry $218.76 · target — · stop —

“$NVDA 225 CALL AUG 7TH ENTRY”

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2026-08-06$SOXLBUYoptionLoss -99.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $134.9939 · target — · stop — · swing

“$SOXL 300 CALL SEPT 18TH PETROAI SWING”

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2026-08-06$QCOMBUYoptionLoss -96.1%target hit · daily bars
entry $161.335 · target $166.86 · stop —

“$QCOM 170 CAL AUG 7 - ENTRY 🟢 Support: 158.93 ⚪️ RRC: 159.71 🔴 Resistance: 161.18 Target 164.83, 166.86 Bullish. Buyers have reclaimed the major EMAs and are holding above the RRC. As long as 159.71 holds, I like continuation into 161.18. A clean break there opens the door to 164.83. Lose 158.93, and I'd expect a pullback toward 155.50.”

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2026-08-06$AMATBUYoptionLoss -99.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $534.75 · target $562.85 · stop —

“$AMAT 550 CALL Aug 7 - ENTRY 🟢 Support: 525.25 ⚪️ RRC: 534.00 🔴 Resistance: 539.56 TARGET 548.54, 562.85 I want to see buyers reclaim and hold 534.00 before expecting a move into 539.56. Above that, I like continuation toward 548.54. Lose 525.25, and I'd expect sellers to press toward 516.27.”

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2026-08-06$TSLABUYoptionLoss -98.8%target hit · daily bars
entry $320.25 · target $332.56 · stop —

“$TSLA 330 CALL AUG 7 - ENTRY 🟢 Support: 318.84 ⚪️ RRC: 321.78 🔴 Resistance: 325.70 Target 329.85, 332.56 This is a textbook RRC setup. Bulls need to reclaim and hold 321.78. Above that, I like continuation toward 325.70 and then 330+. Lose 318.84 and momentum shifts back to sellers.”

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2026-08-06$AVGOBUYoptionLoss -97.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $426.63 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $AVGO 450 CALL AUG 7”

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2026-08-06$AVAVBUYoptionWin +78.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $172.43 · target — · stop —

“$AVAV 185 CALL AUG 7 ENTRY”

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2026-08-06$ARMBUYoptionLoss -99.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $289.405 · target — · stop —

“$ARM 310 CALL AUG 7”

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2026-08-06$VSTBUYoptionLoss -99.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $141.83 · target — · stop —

“$VST 145 CALL AUG 7 ENTRY https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-05$PSIXBUYoptionLoss -98%timed out · daily bars
entry $33.775 · target — · stop —

“$PSIX PETROAI EARNINGS - I THINK THIS CAN FULULKATE PRIMARY: 50 CALL SEPT 18TH** HEDGE: $20 PUT AUG 21** 2 PRIMARY & 1 HEDGE REMEMBER, earnings plays are PURE GAMBLE. Do NOT go in with size. The best & safest is playing the moves before and after NOT during. THIS CAN HAVE AN IV CRUSH which is why it's better to play the after move. THIS IS PURE GAMBLING and EXTREME HIGH RISK https://t.co/Od4Bytzp5N”

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2026-08-05$NVDABUYoptionLoss -80%timed out · minute bars
entry $219.18 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $NVDA 225 CALL 0DTE ENTRY https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-05$IWMBUYoptionLoss -96%timed out · daily bars
entry $301.47 · target — · stop —

“WE DID $IWM PUTS NOW WE DO $IWM 305 CALL AUG 6 https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-05$AMZNBUYoptionLoss -97.7%timed out · minute bars
entry $276.45 · target — · stop —

“$AMZN 280 CALL 0DTE ENTRY https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-05$SLVBUYoptionLoss -75%timed out · minute bars
entry $56.275 · target — · stop —

“LOTTO $SLV 57.50 CALL AUG 5TH EXTREME HIGH RISK https://t.co/Od4Bytzp5N”

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2026-08-05$SMHBUYoptionLoss -99.5%timed out · daily bars
entry $577.06 · target — · stop — · swing

“$SMH 610 CALL AUG 12TH PETROAI SWING https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-05$NVOBUYoptionLoss -91.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $45.48 · target — · stop —

“$NVO 48 CALL AUG 7 https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-05$AMDBUYoptionLoss -99.8%timed out · minute bars
entry $482.88 · target — · stop —

“$AMD 500 CALL AUG 5 https://t.co/q8JEOVQmjY”

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2026-08-04$SPCXBUYoptionLoss -97.4%timed out · daily bars
entry $125.95 · target — · stop —

“$SPCX PETROAI EARNINGS PRIMARY: 160 CALL AUG 7** HEDGE: $90 PUT AUG 7** 2 PRIMARY & 1 HEDGE REMEMBER, earnings plays are PURE GAMBLE. Do NOT go in with size. The best & safest is playing the moves before and after NOT during. THIS CAN HAVE AN IV CRUSH which is why it's better to play the after move. THIS IS PURE GAMBLING and EXTREME HIGH RISK”

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2026-08-04$SPCXBUYoptionLoss -99.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $125.95 · target — · stop —

“$SPCX PETROAI EARNINGS PRIMARY: 160 CALL AUG 7** HEDGE: $90 PUT AUG 7** 2 PRIMARY & 1 HEDGE REMEMBER, earnings plays are PURE GAMBLE. Do NOT go in with size. The best & safest is playing the moves before and after NOT during. THIS CAN HAVE AN IV CRUSH which is why it's better to play the after move. THIS IS PURE GAMBLING and EXTREME HIGH RISK”

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Not adjudicable (1)

The platform declines to grade these: the price data available to us is coarser than the trade (spot FX and metals have no intraday feed, and a stop tighter than a daily bar cannot be adjudicated honestly), or the option contract has no bars. They are excluded from the score and from coverage entirely — not counted as losses.

2026-08-05$PSIXBUYoptiontimed out
entry $33.775 · target — · stop —

“$PSIX PETROAI EARNINGS - I THINK THIS CAN FULULKATE PRIMARY: 50 CALL SEPT 18TH** HEDGE: $20 PUT AUG 21** 2 PRIMARY & 1 HEDGE REMEMBER, earnings plays are PURE GAMBLE. Do NOT go in with size. The best & safest is playing the moves before and after NOT during. THIS CAN HAVE AN IV CRUSH which is why it's better to play the after move. THIS IS PURE GAMBLING and EXTREME HIGH RISK https://t.co/Od4Bytzp5N”

Original post ↗archived at seed time

Falsifiable, not yet decided (0)

Open or untriggered — these count against coverage until they resolve.

No falsifiable level (105)

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