moontrades7

Two hundred and forty-four decided calls, 39 wins to 205 losses — a 16% hit rate, ANTE Score 12 in a tight 12–21 interval, coverage 98% and not flagged partial. Average win +256%, average loss -88%. Multiply those against the hit rate and the arithmetic comes out materially below break-even, the weakest of the 26 records reviewed. Every settled call closed at expiry; none reached a stated level.

"ADDING HEAVY — $NOK 11 call 5/1 at .26." That is the whole format: ticker, strike, expiry, fill price, usually a capitalised intensifier. Two hundred and fifty-three of 255 calls are options, mostly sub-dollar weeklies on small caps. Zero percent carry a target or a stop. Follow-ups say "added super heavy" rather than giving a level, so a reader cannot reconstruct a plan from the feed.

No stop, no target, no sizing guidance on any of 255 calls, and "adding heavy" as the recurring position instruction. All 245 settled calls ran to expiry; the average loser returned 12 cents on the dollar. At a 16% hit rate, a follower mirroring the stated behaviour — adding heavily into cheap weeklies — would have faced a long sequence of total losses between winners.

Of 1,000 tweets, 96 are promotion and the register is countdown: "deleting in 2 minutes", "only 2 spots left", a promo code, a challenge restart. Fifty-eight noise posts are variations on "OMG IM SHAKING". Wins are screenshotted at +100%; the 205 losses are not posted. Commentary occasionally promises specific outsized outcomes — a "+2,000% post-earnings IV flush" shortlist.

Seven educational posts in 1,000, none of which explain a method. The product being sold is access to alerts rather than understanding, and the free feed is the advertisement for it. A reader would finish a month here knowing which tickers were mentioned and nothing about why, or how much to risk.

Before anything else, note that our record ends on 6 April 2026 — this describes a period that closed five months ago. On the record itself: a 16% hit rate with these payoffs did not pay for itself, no call carried an invalidation, and the promotional urgency sits oddly beside that. Readers wanting cheap-weekly speculation will find better-documented versions of it elsewhere on this platform.