Score audit

prilonm @prilonm

ANTE 5 · Unproven from 31 decided calls · 13% win rate · likely range 5–29 · 63% coverage · v1.5

Every input is listed below — the score is the Wilson lower bound of the win rate over the decided calls, so anyone can recompute it. Methodology

Resolved calls (31)

4 wins + 27 losses = the decided base; 0 breakevens are resolved but carry no win/loss signal, so they sit outside it.

2026-09-15$QQQBUYoptionWin +522.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $704.74 · target — · stop —

“Starting to scale in $QQQ 720C 10/2 4.65 Will size in more after the FOMC meeting is over”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-27$MUBUYoptionLoss -99.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $914.37 · target — · stop —

“Buying $MU 1050C 9/18 $14 lotto swings for another try Yes this name has bagged me earlier, but when my furu Trump praises it, I must try https://t.co/kLnXhN9jDF”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-20$MUBUYoptionLoss -99.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $956.2648 · target — · stop —

“In $MU 1100C 9/4 calls with avg between $11-14 with my @GamG8AI crew”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-14$SPCXBUYoptionLoss -37%stopped out · daily bars
entry $136.0163 · target — · stop $134

“Bought $SPCX 155C 9/18 $5 lottos. STOPs under 134”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-11$SPYBUYoptionLoss -99.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $770.015 · target — · stop —

“Bought $SPY 775C 8/21 $3.78 for CPI”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-07-24$SPYBUYoptionWin +373.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $738.6 · target — · stop —

“BOUGHT $SPY 750C 8/14 $5.5 High Confidence SWING 🐋 Small accounts added 750C 8/7 3.6”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-07-24$SMHSELLoptionWin +16.1%timed out · daily bars
entry $565.2 · target — · stop $572

“Gave you the plan & levels last night, so flipped short to $SMH 555P 7/31 13.2 and SL 572”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-07-23$QQQBUYoptionLoss -35.4%timed out · daily bars
entry $691.79 · target — · stop —

“Bought $QQQ 720C 8/7 4.1 with @GamG8AI crew + algo buyer came in just 10 pts off low ✌️”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-07-21$COINBUYoptionLoss -99.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $176.165 · target — · stop —

“Bought $COIN 200C 8/21 $8 🪙 https://t.co/r6e9drKrOe”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-07-20$NVDABUYoptionLoss -99.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $203.94 · target — · stop —

“Bought $NVDA 235C 9/18 $4.2 swings”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-07-15$SPYBUYoptionLoss -99.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $752.03 · target — · stop —

“Bought $TSLA 440C 8/7 $6.1 Bought $SPY 758C 7/31 $5.5 https://t.co/XKGTCOR0NV”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-07-15$TSLABUYoptionLoss -99.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $394.75 · target — · stop —

“Bought $TSLA 440C 8/7 $6.1 Bought $SPY 758C 7/31 $5.5 https://t.co/XKGTCOR0NV”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-07-14$NVDABUYoptionLoss -99.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $207.61 · target — · stop —

“Lotto $NVDA 215C 7/24 2.5 with strong interest building towards 210 https://t.co/lQirWwibMR”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-07-07$QQQBUYoptionLoss -99.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $707.51 · target — · stop —

“Bought $QQQ 725C 7/17 $4.5 lottos”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-07-01$NVDABUYoptionLoss -99.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $197.1193 · target — · stop —

“Bought $NVDA 220C 8/21 $3.9 Sorry Mr. Burry but I must squeeze you first https://t.co/IbDRmXJ4dZ”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-06-29$SPCXBUYoptionLoss -99.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $162.535 · target — · stop —

“Bought $SPCX 200C 9/18 $10 swings”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-06-29$QQQBUYoptionLoss -99.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $713.05 · target — · stop —

“Bought $QQQ 760C 8/21 $10.3 swings”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-06-26$QQQBUYoptionLoss -99.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $711.0691 · target — · stop —

“Bought $QQQ 705P 7/1 $6 tiny size lottos”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-06-23$SMHBUYoptionLoss -99.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $623.32 · target — · stop — · swing

“Bought $SMH 800C 9/18 $15.6 swings (more of my style)”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-06-17$QQQBUYoptionLoss -99.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $732.74 · target — · stop —

“Bought $QQQ 759C 7/17 $8.8 for FOMC (leave room to add more) and swing”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-06-10$MRVLBUYoptionLoss -99.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $268.29 · target — · stop —

“Bought $MRVL 370C 8/21 $21.3 high risk swing”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-06-09$NVDABUYoptionLoss -99.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $205.06 · target — · stop —

“Bought $NVDA 235C 8/21 $5.8”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-06-09$SPYBUYoptionLoss -99.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $746.19 · target — · stop —

“Bought $SPY 737P 6/18 $4.5 hedges”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-06-05$INTCBUYoptionLoss -99.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $102.64 · target — · stop —

“Bought $INTC 130C 8/21 $7.85”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-05-29$NVDABUYoptionLoss -99.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $217.2 · target — · stop —

“Bought $NVDA 230C 7/2 $5.6 Taiwan event next week & big $14M flow https://t.co/KxdjKeRcfd”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-05-27$QQQBUYoptionLoss -99.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $727.0501 · target — · stop — · next week

“Bought $QQQ 738C 6/12 $8 swings into next week 🇺🇸”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-05-26$NVDABUYoptionLoss -99.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $216.0599 · target — · stop — · swings

“Bought $NVDA 235C 7/17 $6 swings”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-05-22$QQQBUYoptionLoss -99.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $717.95 · target — · stop —

“Bought $QQQ 725C 6/5 $7.7 👳🏻‍♂️🇦🇪”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-05-22$SPYBUYoptionWin +100.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $745.48 · target — · stop —

“Bought $SPY 750C 5/29 $3.25 weekend lotto swing bc PrilonAlgo SPX 7465 BUYER/BULL📈🟢”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-05-21$TSLABUYoptionLoss -97.9%timed out · daily bars
entry $417.46 · target — · stop —

“Bought $TSLA 460C 6/12 $5.65 tailing this buyer flow https://t.co/76Xz5blNNW”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-05-21$NVDABUYoptionLoss -99.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $224.1 · target — · stop —

“Bought $NVDA 235C 6/5 3.25”

Original post ↗archived at seed time

Not adjudicable (1)

The platform declines to grade these: the price data available to us is coarser than the trade (spot FX and metals have no intraday feed, and a stop tighter than a daily bar cannot be adjudicated honestly), or the option contract has no bars. They are excluded from the score and from coverage entirely — not counted as losses.

2026-06-23$SPXBUYoptiontimed out
entry — · target — · stop —

“Bought $SPX 7450C 6/24 $10.2 lottos”

Original post ↗archived at seed time

Falsifiable, not yet decided (1)

Open or untriggered — these count against coverage until they resolve.

2026-09-10$SPXLONGOpen
entry $7586 · target $7700 · stop —

“Our Algo is long at $SPX 7586 and is targeting AT LEAST above 7700. Let’s see if it gets it https://t.co/YqmllNzpah”

Original post ↗archived at seed time

No falsifiable level (46)

Calls with no stated target or stop can't be scored — they feed the unverified 1-Week Read instead and count against coverage. Not listed individually.

Call text is shown as captured at seed time; deleting the post on X does not remove it here. This audit is a record of public calls and their market outcomes — not financial advice, and never a recommendation. Dispute an attribution: claim this profile to correct it.

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