Score audit

smartrader19 @smartrader19

ANTE 6 · Unproven from 57 decided calls · 12% win rate · likely range 6–23 · 97% coverage · v1.5

Every input is listed below — the score is the Wilson lower bound of the win rate over the decided calls, so anyone can recompute it. Methodology

Resolved calls (57)

7 wins + 50 losses = the decided base; 0 breakevens are resolved but carry no win/loss signal, so they sit outside it.

2026-10-01$METABUYoptionLoss -99.2%timed out · daily bars
entry $727.68 · target $800 · stop —

“$META: 10/9 800 call @1.29 target 800 all time highs”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-10-01$LITELONGWin +2.1%target hit · minute bars
entry $1028.8041 · target $1050 · stop — · today

“$LITE to 1050 today”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-10-01$SPYLONGWin +0.6%target hit · daily bars
entry $763.83 · target $768 · stop —

“$SPY 768 target today. I like calls.”

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2026-09-30$METABUYoptionLoss -97.6%timed out · minute bars
entry $730.7634 · target $750 · stop —

“$META: 9/30 745 calls @0.41 round 2. target 740. then 750”

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2026-09-30$LITEBUYoptionWin +68.3%target hit · minute bars
entry $952.052 · target $970 · stop —

“$LITE: 10/2 1050 call @2.08 960-970 target”

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2026-09-30$QQQBUYoptionLoss -94.7%timed out · minute bars
entry $741.74 · target — · stop —

“$QQQ: 9/30 745 call @0.94 time to get rich. GIVING IT FOR FREE HERE TODAY. if you want more comment or i stop here.”

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2026-09-30$METABUYoptionLoss -99.1%timed out · minute bars
entry $727.47 · target — · stop —

“FREE ALERT $META: 9/30 740 calls 1.10”

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2026-09-29$KODBUYoptionLoss -11.8%target hit · daily bars
entry $92.19 · target $100 · stop —

“$KOD: 10/16 110 call @2.70 can go $100+ very fast and more! Super aggressive stock here. HUGE POTENTIAL AFTER THE HUGE DAY YESTERDAY!”

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2026-09-28$METABUYoptionLoss -96.8%timed out · minute bars
entry $720.955 · target — · stop —

“$META: 9/28 705 put @0.31 HIGH RISK HIGH REWARD!”

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2026-09-28$PANWBUYoptionWin +133%target hit · minute bars
entry $380.09 · target $390 · stop —

“$PANW: 10/2 420 call @0.88 risky but should see a next leg up into 385+ and maybe even 390+”

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2026-09-28$IWMBUYoptionLoss -92.9%timed out · minute bars
entry $279.66 · target $277 · stop —

“$IWM: 9/28 277 put @0.14 cheap play but should hit nicely. I want 277-278”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-25$MUBUYoptionLoss -84.2%timed out · minute bars
entry $1082.67 · target — · stop —

“$MU: 9/25 1050 put @0.19 LOTTO SIZE. HIGH RISK”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-25$DELLBUYoptionLoss -97.9%target hit · minute bars
entry $557.5631 · target $570 · stop —

“$DELL: 9/25 575 call @0.47 560 first target to scale out. then 565-570.”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-25$METABUYoptionLoss -94.8%timed out · minute bars
entry $756.07 · target — · stop —

“$META: 9/25 780 call @0.58”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-25$IWMBUYoptionLoss -94.4%timed out · minute bars
entry $281.84 · target — · stop —

“$IWM: 9/25 280 put @0.18”

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2026-09-24$QQQBUYoptionLoss -73.6%timed out · minute bars
entry $737.37 · target — · stop —

“$QQQ: 9/24 740 calls @0.72”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-24$METABUYoptionLoss -99.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $760.4 · target — · stop —

“$META: 9/25 800 call @2.78”

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2026-09-22$AAPLBUYoptionLoss -94.4%timed out · daily bars
entry $342.63 · target — · stop —

“$AAPL: 350 call 9/23 @0.18 LOTTO=go in expecting this to be $0.”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-21$LITEBUYoptionLoss -99.2%timed out · daily bars
entry $974.67 · target — · stop —

“$LITE: 9/25 1100 call @3.80 $1000 incoming”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-18$LITEBUYoptionLoss -95%timed out · minute bars
entry $934.1599 · target — · stop —

“$LITE: 9/18 990 calls @1.00”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-17$SNOWBUYoptionLoss -99%timed out · daily bars
entry $344.5 · target — · stop —

“$SNOW: 10/2 400 calls @1.03”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-17$SPCXBUYoptionLoss -98.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $154.385 · target — · stop —

“$SPCX: 9/18 160 call @0.71”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-16$AMDBUYoptionWin +2248.1%timed out · daily bars
entry $523.655 · target — · stop —

“$AMD: 9/25 600 call @1.31”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-16$METABUYoptionLoss -99%timed out · minute bars
entry $681.93 · target — · stop —

“$META: 9/16 695 call @1.02 high risk”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-15$PANWBUYoptionLoss -98.4%timed out · daily bars
entry $379.34 · target — · stop —

“$PANW: 9/18 420 call @0.62 LOTTO”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-14$PANWBUYoptionLoss -99.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $375.895 · target — · stop —

“$PANW: 9/18 400 call @2.90 risky but 400 seems like its coming.”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-14$NOWBUYoptionLoss -93.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $140.96 · target — · stop —

“$NOW: 9/18 150 call @0.97 here is another free trade. $CRM also almost 20% now. $PANW $CRWD $MSFT moved a lot. sector moving well.”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-14$MSFTBUYoptionWin +62.8%timed out · minute bars
entry $502.68 · target — · stop —

“$MSFT: 9/14 505 call @0.43 riskier trade but looks great. $CRWD $PANW moving so should help MSFT push here”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-14$CRWDBUYoptionLoss -98.2%timed out · daily bars
entry $232.3042 · target — · stop —

“$CRWD: 9/18 250 call @1.67 all time highs play”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-11$MUBUYoptionLoss -96.9%timed out · minute bars
entry $982.45 · target — · stop —

“$MU: 9/11 1020 call @0.32 $1000 potential here”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-11$SKHYBUYoptionLoss -96.8%timed out · minute bars
entry $190.45 · target — · stop —

“$SKHY: 9/11 195 call @0.31 explosion number 3 coming? so far $LITE 120% $MRNA 500% what will $SKHY do?”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-11$MRNABUYoptionLoss -97.5%timed out · minute bars
entry $140.65 · target — · stop —

“$MRNA: 9/11 145 call @0.40”

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2026-09-11$LITEBUYoptionLoss -97.5%timed out · minute bars
entry $964.1401 · target — · stop —

“$LITE: 9/11 1000 call @1.20 free money”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-10$SPYBUYoptionLoss -98%timed out · minute bars
entry $758.9 · target — · stop —

“$SPY: 9/10 757 put @0.50”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-10$SPYBUYoptionLoss -97.8%timed out · minute bars
entry $758.31 · target — · stop —

“$SPY: 9/10 761 call @0.45”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-09$IBMBUYoptionLoss -99.5%timed out · daily bars
entry $239.16 · target — · stop — · swing

“$IBM: 9/18 250 call @1.98 swing. gap fill target 250”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-09$IWMBUYoptionLoss -92.9%timed out · minute bars
entry $291.245 · target — · stop —

“$IWM: 9/9 292 call @0.14 small play. bounce it!”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-09$SPYBUYoptionLoss -95%timed out · minute bars
entry $761.54 · target — · stop —

“$SPY: 9/9 763 call @0.40 small lotto size”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-09$QQQBUYoptionLoss -98.7%timed out · minute bars
entry $717.99 · target — · stop —

“$QQQ: 9/9 720 call @0.75”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-08$SPCXBUYoptionLoss -99.6%timed out · daily bars
entry $150.87 · target — · stop —

“$SPCX: 9/18 160 call @2.25 pumped a bit already but lots of room to run”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-08$AMDBUYoptionLoss -99.5%timed out · daily bars
entry $501.89 · target — · stop —

“$AMD: 9/11 535 call @2.24”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-08$LITEBUYoptionLoss -98.4%timed out · daily bars
entry $934.875 · target — · stop —

“$LITE: 9/11 1100 call @1.25”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-08$IWMBUYoptionLoss -96.4%timed out · minute bars
entry $295.07 · target — · stop —

“$IWM: 9/8 296 call @0.28”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-08$BEBUYoptionLoss -99.5%timed out · daily bars
entry $272.76 · target — · stop —

“$BE: 9/18 350 call @2.08”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-04$SNDKBUYoptionLoss -95.5%timed out · minute bars
entry $1655.61 · target — · stop —

“$SNDK: 9/4 1750 call @1.12”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-04$MUBUYoptionLoss -96.2%timed out · minute bars
entry $986.555 · target — · stop —

“$MU: 9/4/26 1025 call @0.80”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-03$SNOWBUYoptionLoss -98.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $377.75 · target — · stop —

“$SNOW: 9/11 435 call @0.83”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-03$DELLBUYoptionLoss -98.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $496.7 · target — · stop —

“$DELL: 9/4/26 535 call @0.86”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-02$DELLBUYoptionLoss -98.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $478.484 · target — · stop —

“$DELL: 9/4 530 call @0.80”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-02$METABUYoptionLoss -95.6%timed out · minute bars
entry $597.5 · target — · stop —

“$META: 9/2 610 call @0.23”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-01$MUBUYoptionLoss -98.8%timed out · daily bars
entry $968.785 · target — · stop —

“$MU: 9/2/26 1020 call @0.81”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-31$SPYBUYoptionLoss -96.7%timed out · minute bars
entry $764.85 · target — · stop —

“$SPY: 8/31 762 put @0.30”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-31$METABUYoptionLoss -97.1%timed out · minute bars
entry $575.48 · target — · stop —

“$META: 8/31 585 call @0.68”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-31$SKHYBUYoptionLoss -96.7%timed out · daily bars
entry $162.59 · target — · stop —

“$SKHY: 9/4 180 call @0.60”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-27$QCOMBUYoptionLoss -99.2%timed out · daily bars
entry $164.43 · target — · stop —

“$QCOM: 9/4/26 175 call @1.24 will make a run soon.”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-27$AAPLBUYoptionWin +85.4%target hit · daily bars
entry $313.99 · target $320 · stop —

“$AAPL: 9/4/26 320 call @2.05 riding this up. already good move. 320 target”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-27$QQQBUYoptionLoss -73.8%timed out · minute bars
entry $716.771 · target — · stop —

“$QQQ: 8/27 720 call @0.65”

Original post ↗archived at seed time

Not adjudicable (3)

The platform declines to grade these: the price data available to us is coarser than the trade (spot FX and metals have no intraday feed, and a stop tighter than a daily bar cannot be adjudicated honestly), or the option contract has no bars. They are excluded from the score and from coverage entirely — not counted as losses.

2026-09-23$SPXBUYoptiontimed out
entry — · target — · stop —

“$SPX: 9/23 7730 call @0.95”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-21$SPXBUYoptiontimed out
entry — · target — · stop —

“$SPX: 9/21 7735 call @0.78 SPY going 770 today looks like”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-09-15$SPXBUYoptiontimed out
entry — · target — · stop —

“$SPX: 9/15 7630 call @0.85”

Original post ↗archived at seed time

Falsifiable, not yet decided (1)

Open or untriggered — these count against coverage until they resolve.

2026-09-14$CRMBUYoptionOpen
entry $255.23 · target $275 · stop —

“$CRM: 10/16 300 call @1.43 swing. 270-275 target”

Original post ↗archived at seed time

No falsifiable level (48)

Calls with no stated target or stop can't be scored — they feed the unverified 1-Week Read instead and count against coverage. Not listed individually.

Call text is shown as captured at seed time; deleting the post on X does not remove it here. This audit is a record of public calls and their market outcomes — not financial advice, and never a recommendation. Dispute an attribution: claim this profile to correct it.

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