Score audit

smartreversals @smartreversals

ANTE Building from 3 decided calls · 67% win rate · 30% coverage · v1.5

Every input is listed below — the score is the Wilson lower bound of the win rate over the decided calls, so anyone can recompute it. Methodology

Resolved calls (2)

2 wins + 0 losses = the decided base; 0 breakevens are resolved but carry no win/loss signal, so they sit outside it.

2026-09-24$TSLASHORTWin +4.4%target hit · daily bars
entry $379.62 · target $363 · stop —

“$TSLA: Similar to $AAPL's shooting star analyzed yesterday, which worked as a reversal signal, today's setup for Tesla shows similar conditions with indecisive price action breaching the upper Bollinger Band. Looks like a visit to the 363 level is imminent (at least). https://t.co/96Gdtrkngt”

Original post ↗archived at seed time
2026-08-20$SPYSHORTWin +0.1%target hit · minute bars
entry $766.0865 · target $765 · stop —

“$SPY: The gap fill thesis is in play. Price action looks weak, but the best scenario for bulls is a clearance of that bearish magnet. The price is still overbought. For today, the SPY must recover 769.9 to indicate minor recovery signals; otherwise, 767 and 765 follow as targets. https://t.co/DpdLH1oiz0”

Original post ↗archived at seed time

Falsifiable, not yet decided (1)

Open or untriggered — these count against coverage until they resolve.

2026-08-18$SPXSHORTOpen
entry — · target $7684 · stop —

“$SPX: Gap fill in progress? Most likely (-> 7,610). The price must recover 7760 today to suggest invalidation of the gap fill thesis, otherwise 7714 (-0.4%), and 7684 (-0.8%) could be tested as part of a multi-day process. Long-term structure stays bullish, short-term choppy. https://t.co/yYaDpGp4wh”

Original post ↗archived at seed time

No falsifiable level (4)

Calls with no stated target or stop can't be scored — they feed the unverified 1-Week Read instead and count against coverage. Not listed individually.

Call text is shown as captured at seed time; deleting the post on X does not remove it here. This audit is a record of public calls and their market outcomes — not financial advice, and never a recommendation. Dispute an attribution: claim this profile to correct it.

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