Score audit
tradeparadigm @tradeparadigm
Every input is listed below — the score is the Wilson lower bound of the win rate over the decided calls, so anyone can recompute it. Methodology
Resolved calls (0)
0 wins + 0 losses = the decided base; 0 breakevens are resolved but carry no win/loss signal, so they sit outside it.
None yet.
Not adjudicable (1)
The platform declines to grade these: the price data available to us is coarser than the trade (spot FX and metals have no intraday feed, and a stop tighter than a daily bar cannot be adjudicated honestly), or the option contract has no bars. They are excluded from the score and from coverage entirely — not counted as losses.
“~$200M in BTC calls traded on Paradigm 85K strike Jun expiry 2,000 BTC notional (~$160M, the rest was delta) 80 BTC premium (~6M) Buyer lifting June upside at 41v, with a delta hedge. https://t.co/o6Tcn0IFfc”
Falsifiable, not yet decided (0)
Open or untriggered — these count against coverage until they resolve.
No falsifiable level (0)
Calls with no stated target or stop can't be scored — they feed the unverified 1-Week Read instead and count against coverage. Not listed individually.
Call text is shown as captured at seed time; deleting the post on X does not remove it here. This audit is a record of public calls and their market outcomes — not financial advice, and never a recommendation. Dispute an attribution: claim this profile to correct it.